The risk of spill from key storages in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems remains too high to make a declaration on access to water in spillable accounts.July 15, 2014 3:20am
Northern Victoria resource manager Mark Bailey said the low risk of spill could not be declared in the Murray, Goulburn or Campaspe systems this month.
‘‘The risk of spill in each system this season is currently greater than 50 per cent, which is much greater than the 10 per cent risk that is the threshold for a declaration,’’ he said.
‘‘Any water in spillable water accounts remains quarantined from use or trade.’’
Lake Eildon and Lake Eppalock are holding about 75 per cent of their capacity.
Dr Bailey said at the end of June, the Victorian share of Lake Hume was about 67 per cent of capacity, with the total storage volume about 52 per cent of capacity.
‘‘The inflows that occur over the next three months will be important to the timing of the declarations this season, because highest inflows have mainly occurred during this period.’’
Dr Bailey stressed the risk of spill was not to be confused with the risk of flooding in the region.
‘‘This assessment is related to the availability of water in spillable water accounts, not the probability of flooding occurring in these systems.’’
The risk of spill assessment in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems will be updated on August 11.
The Bureau of Meteorology has released a severe weather warning for regions that include Shepparton. It includes damaging winds and the potential for flash flooding.
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